Safety of oral micronized progesterone versus norethisterone acetate in continuous combination with oral estrogen as menopausal hormone therapy – a double-blind randomized study- PROBES study (Progesterone Breast Endometrial Safety study)

2024-520435-33-00 Protocol PROBES Therapeutic confirmatory (Phase III) Authorised, recruitment pending

Status Authorised, recruitment pending · 1 EU/EEA countries · 3 sites · Protocol PROBES

Overview

Sponsor-declared trial summary

Phase Therapeutic confirmatory (Phase III)
Status Authorised, recruitment pending
Participants planned 520
Countries 1
Sites 3

Climacteric symptoms

Part 1 Breast safety - a double-blind, randomized study design: To compare the effects of one year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on mammographic breast density. Part 2 Endometrial safety – open, single arm, study design: To evaluate the effect of one-year treatment with mP in conti…

Key facts

Sponsor
Karolinska University Hospital
Participant type
Patients
Age range
18-64 years
Gender
Female
Therapeutic area
Diseases [C] - Female Urogenital Diseases and Pregnancy Complications [C13]
Decision date (initial)
2025-01-17
Transition trial
Yes
Low-intervention
No
Rare-disease indication
No
Vulnerable population
No

External identifiers

EU CT number
2024-520435-33-00
EudraCT number
2021-001624-17
ClinicalTrials.gov
NCT05586724

Trial design

CTIS Part I — objectives, methods, condition coding

Main objective

Scope: Therapy, Safety

Part 1 Breast safety - a double-blind, randomized study design: To compare the effects of one year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on mammographic breast density.

Part 2 Endometrial safety – open, single arm, study design: To evaluate the effect of one-year treatment with mP in continuous combination with estradiol on endometrial pathology (hyperplasia and cancer).

Secondary objectives 9

  1. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on breast cell proliferation
  2. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on endometrial cell proliferation
  3. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on endometrial thickness using ultrasound
  4. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on bleeding pattern
  5. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on gene and protein expression of growth factors and apoptosis markers in breast and endometrial tissue
  6. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on depression and anxiety symptoms (PHQ-9, HADS)
  7. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on health-related quality of life (PGWB)
  8. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on women’s Health Questionnaire (WHQ)
  9. To compare the effects of one-year treatment with mP versus NETA, both in combination with estradiol, on blood lipid profile, serum hormones, growth and metabolic factors, and coagulation factors

Conditions and MedDRA coding

Climacteric symptoms

Eligibility criteria

Principal inclusion / exclusion criteria as submitted by sponsor

Inclusion criteria 6

  1. Healthy and naturally postmenopausal women (more than one year since last menstruation or FSH > 40 IE/L) with climacteric symptoms (sweating, hot flush and sleep problems) that adversely affect quality of life.
  2. Age 45-60 years
  3. BMI > 19 kg/m2 and ≤ 32 kg/m2
  4. Intact uterus
  5. In case of previous MHT use, washout 8 weeks for oral MHT and 4 weeks for transdermal MHT or local estrogen treatment before screening
  6. Written informed consent

Exclusion criteria 12

  1. Previous history or risk factors for breast cancer, breast cancer in situ or abnormal mammogram at baseline as assessed clinically by a radiology expert
  2. Previous history or risk factors for endometrial cancer or hyperplasia or abnormal/proliferative endometrial biopsy at baseline
  3. Vaginal bleeding
  4. Any concomitant medical treatment except for well-controlled hypertension, non-insulin treated type 2 diabetes, asthma and hypothyroidism
  5. History or presence of or risk factor for cardiovascular disease including thromboembolic disorder or cerebrovascular disease
  6. History or presence of liver and gallbladder disease, familial hyperlipidemia, epilepsy or classical migraine with aura
  7. History or presence of clinically significant depression or other psychiatric disorder that might in anyway compromise the performance of the trial or undermine its scientific validity
  8. Porphyria, Systemic lupus erythematosus and otosclerosis
  9. Current use of MHT or local estrogen treatment
  10. Alcohol and/or drug abuse
  11. Clinically significant findings on physical and/or gynecological examination at baseline
  12. Hypersensitivity to any of the study treatments

Endpoints

Primary and secondary outcome measures (English text)

Primary endpoints 1

  1. Percentage change in mammographic density compared between the groups.

Secondary endpoints 8

  1. Incidence of endometrial proliferation (proliferation marker (Ki67)
  2. Endometrial thickness on ultrasound
  3. Bleeding pattern as documented in a bleeding diary
  4. Gene and protein expression of growth factors and apoptosis markers in breast and endometrial tissue
  5. Depression and anxiety symptoms (Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9), Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS))
  6. Health-related quality of life (Psychological General Well-Being Index (PGWB))
  7. Women’s Health Questionnaire (WHQ)
  8. Blood lipid profile, serum hormones, growth and metabolic factors (follicle-stimulating hormone, luteinizing hormone, estradiol, progesterone, testosterone, sex hormone-binding globulin, IGF–I and its binding proteins), and coagulation factors (antitrombin, factor V Leiden, factor II mutation, cardiolipin-ab, Lupus anticoagulant, Protein C activity, Protein S free, APT-time, fibrinogen, prothrombin complex, thrombocytes).

Investigational products

Investigational medicinal products (IMPs), comparators, placebo, auxiliary

Test 2

Utrogestan 200 mg mjuk vaginalkapsel

PRD7177370 · Product

Active substance
Progesterone, Micronised
Pharmaceutical form
VAGINAL CAPSULE, SOFT
Route of administration
ORAL USE
Max daily dose
100 mg milligram(s)
Max total dose
0 mg milligram(s)
Max treatment duration
12 Month(s)
Authorisation status
Authorised
ATC code
G03DA04 — PROGESTERONE
Marketing authorisation
58438
MA holder
BESINS HEALTHCARE IRELAND LIMITED
MA country
Sweden
Paediatric formulation
No
Orphan designation
No
Modified vs. Marketing Authorisation
Yes
Modification description
It is re-labeled

Estrofem 1 mg filmovertrukne tabletter

PRD335530 · Product

Active substance
Estradiol
Substance synonyms
ESTRADIOL ANHYDROUS, OESTRADIOL, OESTRADIOL-17-BETA, 17BETA-ESTRADIOL
Pharmaceutical form
FILM-COATED TABLET
Route of administration
ORAL USE
Max daily dose
1 mg milligram(s)
Max total dose
1 mg milligram(s)
Max treatment duration
12 Month(s)
Authorisation status
Authorised
ATC code
G03CA03 — ESTRADIOL
Marketing authorisation
17461
MA holder
NOVO NORDISK A/S
MA country
Denmark
Paediatric formulation
No
Orphan designation
No
Modified vs. Marketing Authorisation
Yes
Modification description
Encapsulated

Comparator 1

Activelle 1 mg/0,5 mg filmdragerade tabletter

PRD342626 · Product

Active substance
Norethisterone Acetate
Substance synonyms
NORETHINDRONE ACETATE
Pharmaceutical form
FILM-COATED TABLET
Route of administration
ORAL USE
Max daily dose
1.5 mg milligram(s)
Max total dose
1.5 mg milligram(s)
Max treatment duration
12 Month(s)
Authorisation status
Authorised
ATC code
G03FA01 — NORETHISTERONE AND ESTROGEN
Marketing authorisation
14007
MA holder
NOVO NORDISK A/S
MA country
Sweden
Paediatric formulation
No
Orphan designation
No
Modified vs. Marketing Authorisation
Yes
Modification description
Encapsulated

Placebo 1

Pharmaceutical form: Capsule Route of administration: Oral use Which IMS is it a placebo for?: Utrogestan Is it otherwise identival tio the IMP?: Yes

N/A · Product

Other product name
N/A
Pharmaceutical form
N/A
ATC code
N/A — N/A
Marketing authorisation
N/A
MA holder
N/A
MA country
Iceland
Paediatric formulation
No

Sponsors and contacts

Sponsor organisations, regulatory contacts, third parties

Karolinska University Hospital

Sponsor organisation
Karolinska University Hospital
Address
Eugeniavagen 3
City
Solna
Postcode
171 64
Country
Sweden

Scientific contact point

Organisation
Karolinska University Hospital
Contact name
Angelica Lindén Hirschberg

Public contact point

Organisation
Karolinska University Hospital
Contact name
Angelica Lindén Hirschberg

Locations

1 EU/EEA country · 3 investigational sites

By country

CountryMS statusPlanned subjectsSites
Sweden Authorised, recruitment pending 520 3
Rest of world 0

Investigational sites

Sweden

3 sites · Authorised, recruitment pending
Karolinska University Hospital
Department of Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, Eugeniavagen 3, 171 64, Solna
Uppsala University Hospital
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Akademiska Sjukhuset, 751 85, Uppsala
Danderyds Sjukhus AB
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Morbygardsvagen 88, 182 88, Danderyd

Results and documents

Annex IV summary of results, Annex V layperson summary, and all documents registered in CTIS for this trial

Documents 11 files

Public protocol annexes, IB summaries, regulatory submissions and post-authorisation documents registered in CTIS.

TypeTitleVersion
Protocol (for publication) PROBES Protocol 3.2
Protocol (for publication) PROBES Protocol 3.1 3.1
Protocol (for publication) PROBES Protocol TC 3.2
Recruitment arrangements (for publication) Blankt dokument 1
Subject information and informed consent form (for publication) Patientinformation 4.2
Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) (for publication) SmPC Activelle svensk 1
Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) (for publication) SmPC Estrofem dansk 1
Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) (for publication) SmPC Estrofem tablett SmPC dansk 1
Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) (for publication) SmPC Utrogestan engelsk 1
Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) (for publication) SmPC Utrogestan svensk 1
Synopsis of the protocol (for publication) Synopsis PROBES 3.2

Application history

1 submissions — initial application plus substantial / non-substantial modifications

#TypeCodeSubmittedReference MSConclusionDecision date
1 INITIAL IN 2025-01-13 Sweden Acceptable
2025-01-17
2025-01-17